The odds on the visitors are slightly better than those for the hosts, but it's not like we're talking about Liverpool here! Why is that? We'll explain at the end, so let's follow the reasoning through the text.
Can we say things are looking up for Everton? Four matches unbeaten, eight points, and only two goals conceded. Indeed, the team hasn't faced opponents like Arsenal or Real Madrid, but just Leicester City, Crystal Palace, Newcastle United, and Ipswich Town. Mind you, Newcastle were a Champions League side not too long ago. The upcoming opponents, Fulham, fall into the same category — solid, but beatable.
Fulham, on the other hand, have been less fortunate with their recent fixtures, having faced Manchester City — the current champions, and Aston Villa, the conquerors of Bayern Munich. They did well in both matches, even scoring once against Aston Villa and twice against Manchester City. Manchester City's defence was certainly tested by Fulham's 11 shots, four on target: their xG was actually higher than the opponents' (2.60-1.57). Against Aston Villa, despite the defeat (1:3) and Joachim Andersen's sending off, Fulham generated more potential (1.78—1.68 xG). How so? Right, there was a penalty — a literal missed opportunity.
Such potential from Fulham needs to find an outlet somewhere. Where better than against a team with a weak defence (despite recent good results)? Here's the kicker: in their last six Premier League meetings, the home side hasn't won once, with only two draws. Thus, backing a Fulham win or at least a double chance seems wise. But we'll opt for something in between — a zero handicap.
|
Sean Dyche
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
In squad
|
|||
|
Jordan Pickford
|
gk. | 8 | -15 |
|
Asmir Begović
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Joao Virginia
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
James Tarkowski
|
df. | 8 | 0 |
|
Michael Keane
|
df. | 7 | 2 |
|
Ashley Young
|
df. | 6 | 0 |
|
Vitaliy Mikolenko
|
df. | 6 | 0 |
|
Jake O'Brien
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Roman Ivan Quintyne Dixon
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Séamus Coleman
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Nathan Patterson
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Dwight McNeil
|
mf. | 8 | 3 |
|
Jack Harrison
|
mf. | 8 | 0 |
|
Abdoulaye Doucouré
|
mf. | 7 | 0 |
|
Idrissa Gueye
|
mf. | 7 | 0 |
|
Tim Iroegbunam
|
mf. | 6 | 0 |
|
Orel Mangala
|
mf. | 5 | 0 |
|
James Garner
|
mf. | 4 | 0 |
|
Jesper Lindstrøm
|
mf. | 4 | 0 |
|
Harrison Armstrong
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Jarrad Branthwaite
|
mf. | 1 | 0 |
|
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
|
fw. | 8 | 2 |
|
Iliman Ndiaye
|
fw. | 8 | 2 |
|
Norberto Bercique Gomes Betuncal
|
fw. | 4 | 0 |
|
Armando Broja
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Youssef Chermiti
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
|
Marco Silva
|
coach | ||
| Player | Matches | Goals | |
|
In squad
|
|||
|
Bernd Leno
|
gk. | 8 | -11 |
|
Steven Benda
|
gk. | 0 | 0 |
|
Antonee Robinson
|
df. | 8 | 0 |
|
Calvin Bassey
|
df. | 8 | 0 |
|
Kenny Tete
|
df. | 8 | 0 |
|
Issa Diop
|
df. | 6 | 0 |
|
Joachim Andersen
|
df. | 5 | 0 |
|
Timothy Castagne
|
df. | 1 | 0 |
|
Jorge Cuenca
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Ryan Sessegnon
|
df. | 0 | 0 |
|
Andreas Pereira
|
mf. | 8 | 1 |
|
Smith Rowe
|
mf. | 8 | 2 |
|
Saša Lukić
|
mf. | 7 | 0 |
|
Sander Berge
|
mf. | 6 | 0 |
|
Thomas Cairney
|
mf. | 6 | 0 |
|
Harrison Reed
|
mf. | 5 | 0 |
|
Adama Traore
|
fw. | 8 | 1 |
|
Alex Iwobi
|
fw. | 8 | 1 |
|
Raúl Jiménez
|
fw. | 8 | 4 |
|
Rodrigo Muniz
|
fw. | 7 | 1 |
|
Reiss Nelson
|
fw. | 5 | 1 |
|
Harry Wilson
|
fw. | 4 | 0 |
|
Vinícius Morais
|
fw. | 0 | 0 |
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